摘要：
本文利用2012~2019年間大量解僱通報檔案，勾稽並追蹤勞工保險之被保人投保資料，彙整檢視有關大量解僱勞工解僱後職涯歷程之特性，並利用Cox比例風險模型進行存活分析實證估計，檢視影響被大量解僱勞工後續職涯發展之影響因素。
研究結果顯示，臺灣被大量解僱勞工於解僱後1年內再就業之比率約為63.1%；2年內再就業之比率為79.7%，被大量解僱勞工兩年內再就業比率略高於國內失業給付調查之再就業率，可能原因與大量解僱勞工因解僱原因多非歸責於勞工個人，因而有較高再就業率。就研究期間觀察被大量解僱勞工再就業模式，穩定就業者約占78.1%，斷續或轉換工作者比重約15.8%。至於被大量解僱勞工之再就業行業流動，穩定就業者之產業內就業率較斷續或轉換工作者高；而間斷或斷續工作者的產業間流動率較穩定就業者高。
根據Cox比例風險模型估計結果顯示，被大量解僱勞工年齡增加一歲，再就業減少2.8%~4.2%；且再就業者之平均年齡明顯低於未再就業者。而女性相較於男性之再就業減少3.7%~4.2%。此外，企業規模較大之被大量解僱勞工再就業率明顯較高；而在以農業為比較基準的情形下，服務業、工業部門確實較農業有較高的再就業率；若以製造業／非製造業區分產業類別，製造業被大量解僱勞工的再就業率顯著高於非製造業。另外，勞動市場景氣走勢，對於被大量解僱勞工的再就業率也有正向顯著影響。
We applied the data of manufacturers who were notified of mass layoffs from 2012 to 2019, and by means of labor insurance tracking data, collects and examines the characteristics of career paths for the mass redundancy of workers after they were lay-off. And employed the empirical model of survival analysis to investigate the key factors that affect the subsequent career development of mass redundancy workers.
The re-employment rate of workers who had been mass redundancy is about 63.1% within one year after lay-off; the rate of re-employment within two years is 79.7%. As mentioned in the literature, the reasons for leaving for the mass redundancy of workers who are mostly not attributable to the individual oneself, so there is a higher re-employment rate than those who had been lay-off for other reasons.
If the age of workers increases by one year, re-employment will decrease by 2.8% to 4.2%; and the average age of those who are re-employed is significantly lower than those who are not re-employed. Compared with men, the re-employment rate of women is reduced by 3.7%~4.2%. Besides, the macroeconomic situations also have significant influences to the re-employments for the mass redundancy of workers.
